Rubio Eyes Brokered Convention 02/11 06:22
BLUFFTON, S.C. (AP) -- The best hope of the Republican establishment just a
week ago, Marco Rubio suddenly faces a path to his party's presidential
nomination that could require a brokered national convention.
That's according to Rubio's campaign manager, Terry Sullivan, who told The
Associated Press that this week's disappointing performance in New Hampshire
will extend the Republican nomination fight for another three months, if not
longer. It's a worst-case scenario for Rubio and many Republican officials
alike who hoped to avoid a prolonged and painful nomination fight in 2016.
"We very easily could be looking at May --- or the convention," Sullivan
said aboard Rubio's charter jet from New Hampshire to South Carolina on
Wednesday. "I would be surprised if it's not May or the convention."
The public embrace of a possible brokered convention marks a sharp shift in
rhetoric from Rubio's top adviser that could be designed to raise alarm bells
among Republican officials. Yet days after a disappointing fifth-place finish
in New Hampshire and looking up at Donald Trump in next-up South Carolina,
Rubio's presidential ambitions are truly facing growing odds.
While he downplayed his dilemma on his first day in South Carolina after the
New Hampshire setback, the first-term Florida senator discussed his political
challenges at length during an unusual 45-minute question-and-answer session
with reporters aboard his campaign plane on Wednesday. He answered questions
until there weren't any more, noting afterward that he hadn't held a session
that long with reporters since his days as Florida's House speaker.
In remarks that were at times personal and others defiant, he also may have
simply needed to talk it out to help process his predicament. It also seemed he
needed to prove to the political world, himself and his family that he could
face the biggest test of his young presidential bid.
"My kids were watching me last night," Rubio said of his nationally
televised admission that a poor debate performance pushed voters away. "My kids
knew that it didn't go the way I wanted it to go."
"I taught them more last night from that experience, I feel, than any words
I'll share. They were learning from that experience," he said.
As he shifts his attention to South Carolina's Feb. 20 contest, the
44-year-old freshman senator wants voters to know he's learned an important
lesson from his experience in New Hampshire. Instead of trying to avoid
attacking his GOP rivals on the debate stage, Rubio said he's now prepared to
fight back when necessary --- particularly with his party's front-runner Donald
"I don't need to start these fights, but if someone starts one in the future
we're going to have to point out the differences in our records in a sharper
way," Rubio said. "I don't think we have the luxury any longer to basically say
'Look, I don't want to argue with Republicans.' "
New Hampshire destroyed any momentum Rubio had coming out of Iowa and for
now, at least, locks the senator into a messy muddle in his party's
establishment wing. Both Ohio Gov. John Kasich and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush
beat Rubio in New Hampshire in the contest to emerge as the mainstream
alternative to Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz.
And as senior aides embraced the possibility of a brokered national
convention, Rep. Trey Gowdy, R-S.C., said the Rubio operation is "built for a
"I don't know of anyone who expected folks to fold up after New Hampshire
and go on. There are a lot of candidates," Gowdy said as he was traveling with
Rubio on Wednesday. "He's never indicated to me anything other than we're built
for the long haul and it's going to be a long haul. But, you're running to be
the leader of the free world --- it's supposed to be a challenge."
There hasn't been a contested national convention since 1976, yet Republican
National Committee officials have already had preliminary discussions about the
possibility of no candidate securing a majority of delegates in the
state-by-state primary contests.
It's by no means assured that Rubio's candidacy will survive that long.
Despite his popularity among many Republican leaders, he will ultimately
need to start winning primary contests to remain competitive --- especially as
Trump and Cruz perform well.
Rubio's team has long expressed confidence about his chances in South
Carolina. Yet Rubio downplayed expectations when talking to reporters. "We
obviously need to do better than we did in New Hampshire," he said of the state
where he finished in fifth place.
Sensing weakness, Democrats and Republicans alike have begun to question
Rubio's long-term viability.
"The debate performance hurt. We'll see if he can turn it around," said
68-year-old Rubio supporter Rusty DePass after a Wednesday rally in Columbia.
"I'm mad as hell at the people who run his campaign for not having him
"It was awful," DePass said.